This past weekend, I sat down with a law school class mate and close friend of mine, Stanley Kimaru, and we had an rather productive discussion over a few drinks about the political and constitutional issues facing us as we approach the elections tomorrow. We figured that if the experts on TV can do it, so can we, right?
Read on below. Who knows? Maybe we even found a solution to this whole damn thing! (Narrator’s Voice: They didn’t)
Oh, and my friend Stanley has a blog https://smarksthexpot.wordpress.com/ where he gets all deep, philosophical and witty about the important things in life, like Game of Thrones and Anime. Check it out!
NASA Presidential Candidate Raila Odinga’s withdrawal from the October 26th Presidential Elections
Stan:
Being a veteran in Kenya’s game of thrones, he knows the terrain. His withdrawal is spawned from the who-blinks-first game between him and the IEBC. The IEBC has agreed to give in to twenty of the thirty four conditions given by the Opposition. This I believe to be commendable, but NASA wants each and every demand met in order to attain a level playing field.
Hawi:
At this point, there are so many opinions about what his angle actually is. He claims that his withdrawal is because he believes that the elections will not be free and fair if they go ahead, and that he’ll only participate in the elections after IEBC is reformed and NASA’s irreducible minimums are met.
One of the first theories I heard was that he’s angling to trigger fresh nominations, perhaps to make strategic candidature changes in the NASA ticket. Another favorite is that he wants to cast doubts as to the legitimacy of the October 26th Elections, if they take place, perhaps so as to be able to challenge them in the Supreme Court again. A third dominant theory has been that Raila wishes to catalyze some sort of internationally backed civilian coup against the government, maybe even resulting in a power sharing agreement between NASA and Uhuru’s Jubilee government.
Stan:
The question begs: is there legitimacy in his withdrawal from the 26th October presidential selection? Frankly, it is a complicated affair. Some of the Opposition’s demands are meant to cure the illegalities and irregularities raised in the Supreme Court’s ruling. The ruling was a hail mary for Raila and from the look of things he intends to take it to the end zone no matter what. The IEBC on the other hand has stood its ground by rejecting some of NASA’s demands most importantly the sacking of some of its top staff and the changing of the printing and technology providing firms citing time constraints, existing contracts and lack of evidence of mishandling of the August elections by the respective firms.
Will elections take place on October 26th?
Hawi:
So, we have the Supreme Court decision on the Raila 2013 Election Petition, in which the court gave an opinion to the effect that if a candidate were to withdraw from fresh resultant to annulment of election results, creating a situation as envisioned in Article 138(8) of the Constitution, in which case the election calendar would effectively be reset and all candidates would seek fresh nominations. We had all been that Raila’s withdrawal would therefore seemingly mean that elections cannot take place on the 26th.
Then comes along the decision made by Justice Mativo in the High Court Petition of Ekuru Auokot v. IEBC last week, which has important bearing on the issue. In the decision, the Justice stated that fresh elections can occur without the need for fresh nominations. It also voided the opinion in the Raila 2013 Petition. Although an appeal has been lodged for this case, the IEBC has already stated its position that the elections will go on on the 26th as previously planned, with all the candidates in the original election added to the ballot, including Raila until he formally withdraws by way of filing the form 24A, in which case the election will take place without him.
STAN:
Throwing a fresh twist into this conundrum, the high court allowed Ekuru Aukot to vie in the repeat poll. Now this flipped the script 360 degrees further pushing the country from a constitutional and/or any available statutory solution. Politically, Raila’s withdrawal is a scheme to stall the repeat of the election until their demands are met. Now this might not be the ultimate panacea to Jubilee’s numbers game but it is undoubtedly a legitimate call to have the illegalities and irregularities which we as the electorate as did the highest court in the land cannot cast a blind eye to.
There will be an election on 26th October 2017. Honestly though, the legitimacy and legality of the repeat poll hangs in the balance. I say this because questions without answers abound. What are the implications if the supporters of the opposition who are almost half of the electorate boycott the elections? Is there any confidence in the IEBC to conduct the election when one of its commissioners hit the road unceremoniously while the chair cast doubt on his capability to deliver a credible election? Are we going to be trapped in an election-petition-repeat cycle? These questions sadly lack the concrete answers that can reassure the electorate. We are going in blind in a situation which has no blue print.
NASA’s irreducible minimums and the Jubilee’s Election Laws
Stan:
After the 1st of November 2017, it was decreed that an election is not an event but a process. The Supreme Court redefined the saying, “men lie, women lie but numbers don’t” to “numbers lie but processes don’t.” NASA’s irreducible minimums and Jubilee’s amendment to the electoral laws are all knee-jerk exigencies to satisfy and/or counter the court’s ruling. The crux of the amendments sought by the Jubilee fraternity is to reaffirm that the numbers reign supreme and that the conduct of elections is largely irrelevant in determining a presidential petition in the Supreme Court. Concomitantly, NASA wishes to play referee and player by dictating the rules of this game by ruthlessly pushing for reforms under the guise of irreducible minimums.
Hawi:
For one thing, I think the new laws passed by Parliament are intended to make it harder for the Supreme Court to nullify future elections despite evidence of vote tampering or interference as well as diminish the powers of the Chairman of the Electoral Commission.
As for the NASA Irreducible minimums, roughly half of them seek to deal with administrative matters such as the technology to be used and the systems to be used to transmit the results, and a good deal of them are substantive and go into matters of right of access of independent observers and the media as well as other means to ensure that there is true electoral reform. So far, the IEBC has responded to them by concurring with roughly a third of them and rejecting others as either being unreasonable or unacceptable, or impossible within the October 26th deadline for the elections.
STAN:
IEBC is getting the short end of the stick in this brawl and rightly so since it bungled the last poll. Both factions desperately want to convince the electorate that their intentions are geared towards attaining a free, fair, credible and accountable election. Once again, both sides are not right and not wrong in their pursuit of their perceived path of solution out of this rut we have found ourselves in. Given the impasse, the only solution lies in compromise which seems to be the last thing on the minds of the principals together with their rank and file. The same enthusiasm and camaraderie they share in pushing for the revision of their pay perks should be witnessed in breaking this gridlock.
Anti-Election Protests, and Government Response
Stan:
That’s easy. Article 37 of the constitution provides for the right to assembly, demonstration, picketing and petition. However, such a right comes with a condition that demonstrations should be conducted peaceably and unarmed. Therefore the protests that have been carried out over the past weeks to hound out the IEBC top staff are quite in order but it is unacceptable that during the ensuing demos innocent business people have their shops and stalls vandalized. Simply not right.
Hawi:
The Jubilee government has repeatedly cited security concerns and acts of vandalism committed by protesters. And while the media does report that there have been instances countrywide where the protesters have turned dangerous, and have looted or destroyed property, it has also been noted that there has been trend of excessive force and brutal acts being committed by the police and security forces in response to the protests.
I think that people should be allowed to peacefully demonstrate, picket or protest as guaranteed by the Constitution, and that it is unfortunate and horrifying to see the brutal manner in which the police have responded to the protestors. I think that, once duly notified of when and where a protest is to take place, the police have a duty to ensure that the safety of the protesters is ensured, that they are allowed to protest peacefully, and that the police arrest and detain any protesters who commit any violent, destructive or criminal acts, and the police oversight bodies and human rights groups should also investigate cases where the police used live bullets, committed acts of brutality against protesters.
Stan:
Section 24 of the National Police Service Act, which outlines the functions of the Kenya Police Service, provides that the Police are meant to provide assistance to the public when in need, maintain law and order and most importantly in this situation protect life and property. The Act’s Sixth Schedule elaborately spells out the conditions as to the use of force. A police officer shall always officer shall always attempt to use non-violent means first and force may only be employed when non-violent means are ineffective or without any promise of achieving the intended result. The force used shall be proportional to the objective to be achieved, the seriousness of the offence, and the resistance of the person against whom it is used, and only to the extent necessary while adhering to the provisions of the law and the Standing Orders. If the overwhelming wave of outcry from the human rights groups and the public at large of unwarranted killing and maiming of protesters by the police is to go by, then our police are not upholding their oath to serve and protect. I agree that some protesters do take their rights to demonstrate over the top but killing and maiming is not their portion. Proper arrest and incarceration for their offence should be their fate. Then and only then will we as the people refer to our security forces as Kenya’s Finest. Before then, the Police Service has a long way in handling protests which I admit is a challenge.
Final Thoughts
Hawi:
We are definitely in uncharted territory as a country. I think the drama that is unfolding in our politics will one day make for a very exciting movie or tv-series, if we survive it, that is. Meaningful dialogue is necessary to rescue us from this precipice. I maintain that the threat to our nation’s peace and stability does not come from the protesters and security forces clashing in the streets, but from our ruling elite who want to silence our democracy by dividing us amongst ourselves so that we are too preoccupied to fight against the true injustices in our society.
Stan:
I’ll let the Supreme Court take this one. Paragraph 399 of the ruling:
What of the argument that this Court should not subvert the will of the people? This Court is one of those to whom that sovereign power has been delegated under Article 1(3)(c) of the same Constitution. All its powers including that of invalidating a presidential election is not, self-given nor forcefully taken, but is donated by the people of Kenya. To dishonestly exercise that delegated power and to close our eyes to constitutional violations would be a dereliction of duty and we refuse to accept the invitation to do so however popular the invitation may seem. Therefore, however burdensome, let the majesty of the Constitution reverberate across the lengths and breadths of our motherland; let it bubble from our rivers and oceans; let it boomerang from our hills and mountains; let it serenade our households from the trees; let it sprout from our institutions of learning; let it toll from our sanctums of prayer; and to those, who bear the responsibility of leadership, let it be a constant irritant.
That is the burden of our democracy and we must shoulder it. Right now we are on a democratic teething process which is soul-sucking, unbearable and just a second away from insanity. Painful but inevitably, we are growing and I’m glad to be a witness. What a time to be alive!